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SECOND MEDIUM-TERM (1999-2001) RESEARCH PLAN FOR ALADIN

OBJECTIVES versus PROGRESS

(as presented at the 6th Assembly of Partners)

________________________________________________________________________________

Maintenance and improvement of the operational versions

Model verification

Project

Objectives

Progress

Objective verification

Building a coordinated objective verification procedure

No

Subjective verification

Routine control of model performance by forecasters

Done, but no improvement

Case studies

Detailed study of some model failures, either testing the impact of new developments or using more sophisticated procedures

Done, but some aspects left aside

Dynamics

Project

Objectives

Progress

Improvements

in the

semi-Lagrangian advection scheme

Using recent results to improve the semi-Lagrangian advection scheme, the tuning of horizontal diffusion and the physical-dynamical interface

New semi-Lagrangian scheme

Use of the dissipative properties of semi-Lagrangian interpolators : promising results but not finalized

Orographic resonance : several attempts but no success

Testing a predictor /corrector approach

Radiative

upper boundary condition

Resolution of residual problems and validation

Stopped : dead end ?

Very small scale

dynamical adaptation

Enhanced use of ALADIN for the very small scale dynamical adaptation of low-level wind, vertical velocity and precipitations

Dynamical adaptation for orographic precipitation

Local implementations

Stopped : nobody to take over

Coupling

Miscellaneous problems and sensitivity studies with a low priority

-> Design a new technics in progress : spectral coupling, new time-interpolations

Applications

Close cooperation between Partners strongly advised

-> Effective cooperation for the implementation of new diagnostics in Full-Pos

-> Exchanges of applications : started but stopped just after

Physics

Project

Objectives

Progress

Liquid water and ice

as prognostic variables

Development of a parameterization from the ideas of Rasch & Kristjansson

First tests in the 1d model

Radiation

Improvement of the radiation scheme

Improved optical depths; but more work required for an operational use

Orography

Cross-validation and tuning of orography related parameterizations

Improved spectral representation

Local tunings just starting

New formulation of the envelope, to be further tested

"Lift" parameterization analyzed at small scales; stopped (dead end)

Preliminary study of the interaction with horizontal diffusion of humidity

Unexpected feed-backs & local flows

Convection

Various improvements in the parameterization of convection

Several retunings, especially for scale-dependency

Improvement of low-level cloudiness

Snow cover

Implementation (development or adaptation) of a new parameterization

Improved parameterization ready

Land surface

New strategy for initializating water on leaves

Moving to several (stacked) layers into the soil,

Done within Full-Pos

Considered as longer term + debated

Water surface

Improvement of evaporation over sea

Improvement of lakes representation

Preliminary tests of a new scheme

Background (923,927) ready, first case studies performed, two alternative approaches explored

Vertical diffusion

Implementation of a parameterization of Turbulent Kinetic Energy

Considered as longer term

Improvements for stable PBL

Ozone

Test and tuning or improvement of the parameterization of ozone

Code updated

Impact of monthly profiles studied

923

Resolution of residual problems

Adding new fields whenever required

OK

High resolution modelling

Non-hydrostatic dynamics

Project

Objectives

Progress

Vertical plane model

Development of a 2d vertical version of ALADIN to make work on non-hydrostatic dynamics easier

Development and intensive use of a 2d (vertical plane) model

Analytical studies

Semi-academic experiments

New working methods

Semi-Lagrangian advection

Development of a stable two-time-levels semi-Lagrangian advection scheme, to enable larger timesteps

Enhanced stability of the 3TL NH scheme via a change of variables

Testing a predictor/corrector approach

Radiative upper boundary condition

Adaptation of the radiative upper boundary condition to non-hydrostatic dynamics, to control gravity waves

Stopped as in the hydrostatic case

Implementation of a sponge layer

Control of elastic waves

Vertical mode selective temporal decentering in semi-implicit computations, to damp elastic waves

Stopped : proved not necessary

Lower boundary condition

Identification of potential instabilities and development of a clean solution if required

Partly alleviated

Detailed study in progress

Thin layer hypothesis

Relaxation of the thin layer hypothesis in equations, introduction of vertical Coriolis terms

Under test in ARPEGE

Diabatic aspects

Exact introduction of diabatic forcing

Preliminary analytical studies, reformulation of the problem

Coupling

Sensitivity studies to optimize resolution ratios                First high resolution experiments

Coupling of the surface-pressure tendency                     Preliminary version ready, further tests required

Coupling between H and NH models                                    First high resolution experiments

Validation

Need for a "neutral" validation team

-> Framework implemented, work to be shared by 2 teams (physics and dynamics)

-> Design of a few new validation tools

-> Start of a PhD thesis on the problem of compensating errors

Physics

Project

Objectives

Progress

Finer surface representation

Using higher resolution data for the definition of surface characteristics

New datasets studied but not yet ready for an operational use

Adaptation to higher resolution

Refinement or tuning of physical parameterizations as finer horizontal and vertical resolutions are used

A few case studies of the impact of resolution on required tunings

Changes for stratospheric levels

Not enough done

Interface with dynamics

Analysis of the calling sequence

Adaptation to non-hydrostatic dynamics

Some more validations

Completely new approach

Up- and down-draughts

Parameterization of small-scale convective processes

Parameterization of updraughts and downdraughts

New prognostic cloud scheme

New parameterizations

As required considering preliminary experiments or new proposals

Data assimilation

Observations management

Project

Objectives

Progress

Observations databases

Implementation and management of local observations databases

Very little

Monitoring

Quality control for observations

No

New observations

Implementation or development of pre-processing tools for new observation types

Adaptation of screening to ALADIN

First tunings and sensitivity studies

Optimal Interpolation analysis (CANARI)

Project

Objectives

Progress

Adaptation to high resolution

Separation between upperair and surface analyses

Scale dependent tunings

Adaptation of surface analysis to fine-scale orography

Done

Combination with upperair till debated

New statistical scheme

Application & scale dependent tunings

Still problems on the vertical

Diag-Pack

Using CANARI as a diagnostic tool, for very short range forecast (e.g. of convective events)

Already pre-operational

Some more work required

Upperair analysis

Improvements in upperair analysis

Analysis of new variables (e.g. specific humidity)

None

Analysis of specific humidity implemented

Surface analysis

Improvements in the assimilation of soil/surface moisture and temperature

Implementation of a snow cover analysis

Retunings in ARPEGE

Attempts to reduce the spatial heterogeneity of soil moisture

Design of a snow-cover analysis, more refinements required

"Diagnostic" analyses

Development of analysis schemes for new fields (e.g. precipitations)

Feasibility study for visibility

Baselines defined for precipitations

Variational analysis

Project

Objectives

Progress

3d-Var

Validation and improvement of 3d variational analysis

Prototype version ready and tested with sparse observations

4d-Var

Implementation, validation and improvement of 4d variational assimilation

Considered as longer term

Variational applications

Development of applications based on the same tools as variational assimilation

First validation of singular vectors

Useful results from sensitivity studies (coupling, orography, physics)

Coupling

Project

Objectives

Progress

Blending

Definition of a new initialization procedure where only large scales are imposed by the coupling model

Development of "dfi" spectral blending and surface blending

Operational version

Coupling for 4d-Var

Definition of a strategy for ALADIN 4d-Var

Considered as longer term

Bogussing

How to correct the coupling model using high resolution forecasts from the coupled one.

First real-time tests positives, but too heavy for an operational use

Means

Local ALADIN teams

« The existence of operational (or pre-operational) ALADIN suites among almost all Partners gives the opportunity for a new burden of research, with the emergence of deported actions. In the meantime the maintenance of operational applications is an heavy task, which may easily suffocate research and thus prevent further improvements of the model if means (mainly the size of ALADIN teams) are not increased accordingly or a closer cooperation between teams not established.»

Training

Local basic training : OK

Advanced training course : OK, thanks to ALATNET

PhD thesis : 6 more defended, 13 more starting

Maintenance

Phasing

Code optimization, development of diagnostic tools or simplified research versions

Documentation, with its several facets