World |
|
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
5280 |
6122 |
6892 |
7618 |
8196 |
8547 |
8708 |
8671 |
8484 |
8142 |
7663 |
7047 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
21,0 |
26,8 |
37,3 |
52,6 |
73,1 |
100,7 |
135,6 |
171,7 |
208,5 |
249,7 |
290,1 |
328,4 |
|
|
1990 US$/cap |
3971,0 |
4372,0 |
5416,0 |
6900,0 |
8916,0 |
11783,0 |
15569,0 |
19803,0 |
24577,0 |
30667,0 |
37856,0 |
46598,0 |
NOT ppp-corrected |
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
54 |
57 |
60 |
53 |
46 |
37 |
27 |
24 |
22 |
19 |
16 |
14 |
|
|
Solids |
|
43 |
43 |
41 |
42 |
43 |
44 |
44 |
40 |
35 |
30 |
25 |
21 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
106 |
117 |
137 |
152 |
156 |
151 |
135 |
115 |
102 |
93 |
84 |
75 |
|
|
Gas |
|
46 |
52 |
66 |
70 |
71 |
74 |
79 |
82 |
83 |
82 |
80 |
76 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
39 |
54 |
83 |
122 |
168 |
223 |
260 |
270 |
266 |
255 |
240 |
220 |
|
|
Others |
|
2 |
4 |
10 |
23 |
38 |
52 |
64 |
70 |
69 |
65 |
59 |
52 |
|
|
Total |
|
289 |
327 |
398 |
462 |
523 |
581 |
608 |
601 |
576 |
544 |
505 |
458 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
105 |
109 |
120 |
134 |
163 |
181 |
167 |
133 |
101 |
76 |
58 |
44 |
|
|
Oil |
|
129 |
141 |
176 |
206 |
230 |
236 |
228 |
199 |
167 |
143 |
119 |
99 |
|
|
Gas |
|
62 |
71 |
108 |
138 |
153 |
166 |
173 |
168 |
154 |
136 |
121 |
103 |
|
|
Non-Fossil Electric |
8 |
14 |
22 |
33 |
49 |
73 |
105 |
132 |
151 |
163 |
168 |
165 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
3 |
4 |
11 |
29 |
54 |
77 |
95 |
102 |
99 |
90 |
79 |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
61 |
68 |
71 |
66 |
61 |
54 |
46 |
44 |
42 |
41 |
39 |
36 |
|
|
Total |
|
368 |
407 |
508 |
606 |
710 |
788 |
813 |
778 |
715 |
650 |
584 |
514 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Production ZJ |
|
NOT use but Production |
|
|
Coal |
|
0,0 |
1,1 |
2,2 |
3,5 |
4,9 |
6,7 |
8,5 |
10,0 |
11,1 |
12,0 |
12,7 |
13,2 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0,0 |
1,3 |
2,9 |
4,8 |
7,0 |
9,3 |
11,6 |
13,8 |
15,6 |
17,2 |
18,5 |
19,6 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0,0 |
0,6 |
1,5 |
2,8 |
4,2 |
5,8 |
7,5 |
9,2 |
10,8 |
12,3 |
13,6 |
14,7 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0,0 |
75,3 |
161,6 |
261,1 |
369,8 |
483,9 |
599,0 |
704,1 |
793,7 |
868,0 |
928,1 |
975,9 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
2,1 |
1,7 |
2,8 |
3,8 |
4,5 |
4,3 |
4,2 |
3,9 |
3,6 |
3,5 |
3,7 |
3,5 |
Net Ecosystem Production
(NEP) |
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
1436 |
1371 |
1445 |
1499 |
1516 |
1486 |
1429 |
1360 |
1288 |
1209 |
1124 |
1038 |
Arable land for crops
excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species |
|
Grasslands |
|
3435 |
3316 |
3424 |
3404 |
3292 |
3052 |
2785 |
2500 |
2293 |
2142 |
2023 |
1899 |
Permanent pasture: FAO
category 'land for grass & fodder species' |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
8 |
10 |
24 |
68 |
134 |
209 |
268 |
294 |
287 |
262 |
227 |
194 |
|
|
Forest |
|
4277 |
4261 |
4179 |
4258 |
4274 |
4375 |
4551 |
4711 |
4897 |
5130 |
5349 |
5543 |
|
|
Others |
|
3916 |
4114 |
3999 |
3843 |
3853 |
3950 |
4038 |
4207 |
4305 |
4327 |
4348 |
4398 |
|
|
Total |
|
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
13071 |
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
5,99 |
6,90 |
8,50 |
10,00 |
11,20 |
12,20 |
11,70 |
10,20 |
8,60 |
7,30 |
6,10 |
5,20 |
|
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
1,11 |
1,07 |
0,78 |
0,63 |
-0,09 |
-0,48 |
-0,41 |
-0,46 |
-0,42 |
-0,60 |
-0,78 |
-0,97 |
Approximate calculation
from complex land-use module |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
7,10 |
7,97 |
9,28 |
10,63 |
11,11 |
11,72 |
11,29 |
9,74 |
8,18 |
6,70 |
5,32 |
4,23 |
|
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
310 |
323 |
349 |
377 |
385 |
381 |
359 |
342 |
324 |
293 |
266 |
236 |
|
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
6,7 |
7,0 |
7,5 |
8,1 |
8,2 |
8,3 |
8,3 |
7,7 |
7,4 |
7,0 |
6,4 |
5,7 |
|
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
70,9 |
69,0 |
73,9 |
74,6 |
78,2 |
78,5 |
68,9 |
55,8 |
44,3 |
36,1 |
29,8 |
24,9 |
|
|
|
CFC/HFC/HCFC |
MtC eq. |
1672 |
883 |
784 |
291 |
257 |
298 |
338 |
337 |
333 |
327 |
315 |
299 |
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
32 |
25 |
29 |
32 |
33 |
37 |
42 |
47 |
45 |
43 |
46 |
45 |
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
38 |
40 |
36 |
37 |
47 |
58 |
68 |
71 |
62 |
46 |
43 |
43 |
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
879 |
877 |
789 |
751 |
603 |
531 |
471 |
459 |
456 |
426 |
399 |
363 |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
139 |
141 |
141 |
140 |
131 |
123 |
116 |
111 |
103 |
99 |
96 |
87 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
31 |
32 |
36 |
40 |
42 |
43 |
39 |
34 |
30 |
26 |
22 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
OECD90 |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
Remarks |
|
|
Population |
Million |
799 |
849 |
890 |
932 |
965 |
990 |
1001 |
1005 |
1009 |
1020 |
1029 |
1032 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
16,5 |
20,2 |
25,9 |
32,4 |
38,2 |
43,9 |
49,9 |
55,4 |
59,8 |
66,3 |
73,8 |
82,3 |
|
|
1990 US$/cap |
20648,9 |
23841,8 |
29100,0 |
34761,7 |
39587,5 |
44382,4 |
49810,4 |
55070,9 |
59257,3 |
65005,4 |
71721,0 |
79765,3 |
NOT ppp-corrected |
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Solids |
|
8 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
57 |
60 |
60 |
58 |
51 |
41 |
32 |
25 |
20 |
19 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
Gas |
|
24 |
27 |
28 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
28 |
28 |
28 |
28 |
28 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
24 |
36 |
47 |
54 |
58 |
58 |
57 |
55 |
52 |
51 |
50 |
49 |
|
|
Others |
|
2 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
18 |
21 |
22 |
22 |
20 |
19 |
17 |
|
|
Total |
|
120 |
137 |
152 |
159 |
159 |
153 |
146 |
138 |
130 |
125 |
121 |
116 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
37 |
46 |
46 |
40 |
36 |
30 |
24 |
19 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
|
|
Oil |
|
67 |
73 |
74 |
72 |
64 |
50 |
39 |
31 |
25 |
22 |
20 |
19 |
|
|
Gas |
|
28 |
36 |
42 |
44 |
41 |
38 |
37 |
35 |
34 |
33 |
32 |
31 |
|
|
Non-Fossil Electric |
7 |
12 |
18 |
24 |
29 |
32 |
35 |
37 |
37 |
37 |
37 |
37 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
2 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
21 |
20 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
|
|
Total |
|
151 |
178 |
195 |
199 |
193 |
178 |
166 |
154 |
144 |
136 |
131 |
126 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Production ZJ |
|
NOT use but Production |
|
|
Coal |
|
0,0 |
0,4 |
0,8 |
1,2 |
1,7 |
2,1 |
2,5 |
2,9 |
3,1 |
3,4 |
3,6 |
3,8 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0,0 |
0,3 |
0,7 |
1,1 |
1,5 |
1,9 |
2,3 |
2,9 |
3,5 |
4,0 |
4,5 |
4,9 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0,0 |
0,3 |
0,6 |
1,1 |
1,5 |
1,9 |
2,2 |
2,5 |
2,8 |
3,0 |
3,2 |
3,4 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0,0 |
30,1 |
63,1 |
96,4 |
126,6 |
152,1 |
173,3 |
190,4 |
204,7 |
217,1 |
228,3 |
238,6 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
0,4 |
0,4 |
0,3 |
0,6 |
0,8 |
1,1 |
1,2 |
1,4 |
1,4 |
1,3 |
1,3 |
1,2 |
Net Ecosystem Production
(NEP) |
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
379 |
354 |
344 |
349 |
348 |
349 |
352 |
351 |
347 |
345 |
343 |
339 |
Arable land for crops
excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species |
|
Grasslands |
|
785 |
704 |
619 |
553 |
498 |
459 |
428 |
418 |
408 |
402 |
396 |
389 |
Permanent pasture: FAO
category 'land for grass & fodder species' |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
3 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
16 |
27 |
36 |
42 |
42 |
37 |
31 |
26 |
|
|
Forest |
|
1115 |
1165 |
1215 |
1259 |
1299 |
1328 |
1351 |
1361 |
1378 |
1401 |
1423 |
1451 |
|
|
Others |
|
956 |
1015 |
1058 |
1069 |
1077 |
1076 |
1072 |
1065 |
1063 |
1054 |
1045 |
1033 |
|
|
Total |
|
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
3238 |
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
2,83 |
3,20 |
3,30 |
3,20 |
2,80 |
2,40 |
2,00 |
1,60 |
1,40 |
1,30 |
1,20 |
1,10 |
|
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0,00 |
0,00 |
0,10 |
0,06 |
-0,02 |
-0,07 |
-0,09 |
-0,08 |
-0,06 |
-0,14 |
-0,12 |
-0,11 |
Approximate calculation
from complex land-use module |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
2,83 |
3,20 |
3,40 |
3,26 |
2,78 |
2,33 |
1,90 |
1,52 |
1,34 |
1,16 |
1,07 |
0,99 |
|
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
73 |
74 |
75 |
72 |
68 |
63 |
56 |
52 |
50 |
46 |
42 |
40 |
|
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2,6 |
2,6 |
2,6 |
2,6 |
2,5 |
2,4 |
2,4 |
2,3 |
2,3 |
2,2 |
2,2 |
2,0 |
|
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
22,7 |
17,0 |
11,8 |
7,9 |
5,4 |
3,6 |
2,5 |
2,0 |
2,0 |
2,1 |
2,3 |
2,6 |
|
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
19 |
58 |
108 |
103 |
109 |
112 |
116 |
117 |
117 |
119 |
120 |
120 |
|
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
18 |
13 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
|
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
24 |
23 |
16 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
179 |
161 |
153 |
137 |
116 |
100 |
85 |
72 |
64 |
63 |
59 |
56 |
|
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
42 |
36 |
35 |
33 |
29 |
24 |
21 |
18 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
13 |
|
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
13 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
REF |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
Remarks |
|
|
Population |
Million |
412 |
429 |
437 |
443 |
445 |
443 |
432 |
419 |
401 |
384 |
365 |
347 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1,0 |
0,7 |
1,0 |
1,7 |
2,8 |
4,3 |
6,2 |
8,2 |
10,3 |
12,8 |
15,4 |
18,1 |
|
|
1990 US$/cap |
2307,2 |
1675,8 |
2335,2 |
3864,4 |
6258,7 |
9702,5 |
14328,5 |
19522,7 |
25650,8 |
33306,4 |
42087,4 |
52209,7 |
NOT ppp-corrected |
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Solids |
|
14 |
10 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
21 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Gas |
|
15 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
9 |
5 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
18 |
20 |
20 |
19 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
Others |
|
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Total |
|
62 |
40 |
37 |
40 |
42 |
46 |
46 |
45 |
41 |
38 |
35 |
32 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
36 |
18 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
12 |
9 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Oil |
|
28 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
|
|
Gas |
|
25 |
15 |
15 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
|
|
Non-Fossil Electric |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Total |
|
95 |
52 |
48 |
52 |
56 |
63 |
64 |
60 |
54 |
48 |
43 |
39 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Production ZJ |
|
NOT use but Production |
|
|
Coal |
|
0,0 |
0,3 |
0,5 |
0,7 |
0,9 |
1,1 |
1,3 |
1,5 |
1,7 |
1,8 |
2,0 |
2,0 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0,0 |
0,1 |
0,2 |
0,4 |
0,5 |
0,6 |
0,7 |
0,9 |
1,0 |
1,1 |
1,2 |
1,3 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0,0 |
0,2 |
0,3 |
0,6 |
1,0 |
1,4 |
1,9 |
2,3 |
2,8 |
3,2 |
3,5 |
3,8 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0,0 |
11,0 |
19,6 |
27,7 |
34,7 |
40,5 |
46,1 |
51,0 |
54,1 |
55,9 |
57,0 |
57,9 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
0,4 |
0,2 |
0,5 |
0,8 |
1,1 |
1,2 |
1,3 |
1,4 |
1,4 |
1,4 |
1,3 |
1,2 |
Net Ecosystem Production
(NEP) |
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
278 |
217 |
219 |
209 |
190 |
173 |
154 |
141 |
128 |
117 |
106 |
98 |
Arable land for crops
excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species |
|
Grasslands |
|
392 |
300 |
321 |
319 |
286 |
248 |
211 |
187 |
170 |
162 |
155 |
148 |
Permanent pasture: FAO
category 'land for grass & fodder species' |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
1 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
28 |
41 |
51 |
57 |
58 |
50 |
46 |
|
|
Forest |
|
1146 |
1177 |
1175 |
1282 |
1295 |
1310 |
1350 |
1378 |
1410 |
1443 |
1459 |
1480 |
|
|
Others |
|
461 |
583 |
562 |
463 |
495 |
519 |
521 |
521 |
512 |
498 |
507 |
506 |
|
|
Total |
|
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
2278 |
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1,30 |
0,91 |
0,81 |
0,91 |
0,91 |
0,91 |
0,91 |
0,81 |
0,61 |
0,51 |
0,41 |
0,41 |
|
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0,00 |
0,00 |
-0,01 |
-0,10 |
-0,31 |
-0,35 |
-0,36 |
-0,38 |
-0,41 |
-0,36 |
-0,34 |
-0,29 |
Approximate calculation
from complex land-use module |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1,30 |
0,91 |
0,80 |
0,81 |
0,60 |
0,56 |
0,55 |
0,43 |
0,20 |
0,15 |
0,06 |
0,12 |
|
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
47 |
39 |
38 |
42 |
44 |
40 |
34 |
33 |
30 |
27 |
24 |
21 |
|
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
0,6 |
0,6 |
0,6 |
0,6 |
0,6 |
0,6 |
0,5 |
0,4 |
0,4 |
0,4 |
0,3 |
0,3 |
|
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17,0 |
11,0 |
9,0 |
7,7 |
6,9 |
7,0 |
6,5 |
5,6 |
4,6 |
3,9 |
3,0 |
2,5 |
|
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
20 |
24 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
|
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
7 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
8 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
69 |
41 |
28 |
23 |
20 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
12 |
9 |
|
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
16 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
5 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
ASIA |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
Remarks |
|
|
Population |
Million |
2781 |
3246 |
3609 |
3929 |
4142 |
4235 |
4220 |
4088 |
3871 |
3594 |
3262 |
2886 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1,4 |
2,7 |
4,8 |
8,7 |
15,1 |
24,9 |
37,9 |
51,4 |
64,8 |
78,7 |
91,7 |
103,1 |
|
|
1990 US$/cap |
502,0 |
836,8 |
1336,1 |
2206,5 |
3651,1 |
5885,3 |
8980,9 |
12579,4 |
16732,0 |
21889,1 |
28118,6 |
35726,2 |
NOT ppp-corrected |
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
29 |
31 |
30 |
24 |
19 |
14 |
9 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
Solids |
|
20 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
22 |
20 |
17 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
12 |
22 |
29 |
34 |
38 |
39 |
35 |
30 |
26 |
24 |
21 |
19 |
|
|
Gas |
|
2 |
6 |
13 |
17 |
19 |
20 |
22 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
21 |
20 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
4 |
9 |
19 |
36 |
56 |
80 |
93 |
95 |
93 |
88 |
84 |
77 |
|
|
Others |
|
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
27 |
28 |
26 |
24 |
21 |
18 |
|
|
Total |
|
68 |
92 |
117 |
144 |
171 |
198 |
205 |
200 |
189 |
175 |
162 |
144 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
28 |
41 |
51 |
58 |
67 |
74 |
64 |
48 |
35 |
24 |
17 |
11 |
|
|
Oil |
|
16 |
27 |
39 |
51 |
63 |
61 |
56 |
49 |
40 |
33 |
27 |
21 |
|
|
Gas |
|
4 |
11 |
25 |
42 |
56 |
63 |
59 |
52 |
45 |
38 |
31 |
25 |
|
|
Non-Fossil Electric |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
24 |
40 |
52 |
60 |
65 |
68 |
67 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
1 |
3 |
11 |
23 |
34 |
40 |
38 |
37 |
31 |
26 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
30 |
33 |
32 |
27 |
23 |
18 |
13 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
Total |
|
79 |
113 |
153 |
195 |
244 |
273 |
272 |
251 |
227 |
200 |
178 |
154 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Production ZJ |
|
NOT use but Production |
|
|
Coal |
|
0,0 |
0,4 |
0,8 |
1,2 |
1,7 |
2,2 |
2,7 |
3,2 |
3,5 |
3,7 |
3,8 |
3,9 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0,0 |
0,2 |
0,4 |
0,7 |
1,1 |
1,4 |
1,6 |
1,8 |
2,0 |
2,1 |
2,2 |
2,3 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0,0 |
0,1 |
0,2 |
0,4 |
0,6 |
0,8 |
1,2 |
1,5 |
1,8 |
2,1 |
2,4 |
2,6 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0,0 |
17,8 |
42,1 |
73,2 |
110,1 |
151,3 |
191,9 |
227,4 |
256,7 |
280,2 |
298,1 |
310,2 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
0,2 |
0,1 |
0,2 |
0,3 |
0,4 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0,2 |
-0,2 |
-0,1 |
0,2 |
0,4 |
Net Ecosystem Production
(NEP) |
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
382 |
392 |
405 |
419 |
422 |
411 |
393 |
362 |
327 |
288 |
252 |
216 |
Arable land for crops
excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species |
|
Grasslands |
|
561 |
652 |
734 |
748 |
753 |
753 |
723 |
600 |
531 |
471 |
431 |
386 |
Permanent pasture: FAO
category 'land for grass & fodder species' |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
1 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
32 |
71 |
94 |
110 |
95 |
84 |
63 |
50 |
|
|
Forest |
|
488 |
403 |
348 |
330 |
316 |
300 |
302 |
334 |
383 |
489 |
599 |
671 |
|
|
Others |
|
544 |
528 |
486 |
468 |
454 |
441 |
464 |
570 |
640 |
645 |
631 |
653 |
|
|
Total |
|
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
1976 |
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1,15 |
1,78 |
2,58 |
3,18 |
3,78 |
4,08 |
3,68 |
3,08 |
2,48 |
1,98 |
1,58 |
1,28 |
|
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0,37 |
0,26 |
0,24 |
0,22 |
0,21 |
0,19 |
0,18 |
0,16 |
0,15 |
0,11 |
-0,09 |
-0,35 |
Approximate calculation
from complex land-use module |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1,53 |
2,03 |
2,82 |
3,40 |
3,98 |
4,27 |
3,85 |
3,24 |
2,62 |
2,09 |
1,49 |
0,93 |
|
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
113 |
125 |
136 |
148 |
154 |
161 |
157 |
149 |
141 |
128 |
118 |
105 |
|
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2,3 |
2,6 |
2,9 |
3,2 |
3,3 |
3,4 |
3,3 |
3,0 |
2,7 |
2,5 |
2,1 |
1,9 |
|
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17,7 |
25,3 |
29,0 |
29,1 |
29,2 |
27,6 |
21,4 |
15,3 |
10,7 |
7,7 |
5,8 |
4,2 |
|
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
4 |
11 |
20 |
34 |
56 |
93 |
90 |
85 |
79 |
72 |
64 |
|
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
3 |
5 |
7 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
20 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
|
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
23 |
27 |
30 |
32 |
26 |
19 |
16 |
16 |
|
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
235 |
270 |
286 |
289 |
280 |
285 |
245 |
238 |
233 |
228 |
222 |
214 |
|
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
33 |
37 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
37 |
36 |
33 |
32 |
32 |
29 |
|
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
7 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
ALM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
Remarks |
|
|
Population |
Million |
1287 |
1597 |
1954 |
2315 |
2643 |
2879 |
3055 |
3159 |
3202 |
3145 |
3006 |
2783 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
2,1 |
3,1 |
5,6 |
9,8 |
16,9 |
27,6 |
41,6 |
56,7 |
73,6 |
92,0 |
109,1 |
124,9 |
|
|
1990 US$/cap |
1653,4 |
1933,0 |
2839,5 |
4243,2 |
6406,6 |
9580,8 |
13623,6 |
17954,7 |
22996,3 |
29243,6 |
36311,8 |
44869,7 |
NOT ppp-corrected |
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
16 |
19 |
24 |
23 |
21 |
18 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
7 |
|
|
Solids |
|
1 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
15 |
23 |
36 |
48 |
55 |
60 |
58 |
53 |
48 |
45 |
40 |
35 |
|
|
Gas |
|
4 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
21 |
23 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
23 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
2 |
4 |
10 |
21 |
41 |
67 |
90 |
100 |
101 |
97 |
89 |
79 |
|
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
9 |
13 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
|
|
Total |
|
39 |
57 |
91 |
119 |
150 |
183 |
211 |
219 |
216 |
205 |
187 |
165 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
3 |
4 |
10 |
24 |
48 |
64 |
65 |
54 |
42 |
32 |
24 |
18 |
|
|
Oil |
|
17 |
27 |
48 |
68 |
87 |
107 |
114 |
103 |
89 |
77 |
62 |
51 |
|
|
Gas |
|
6 |
10 |
25 |
33 |
36 |
45 |
59 |
64 |
60 |
52 |
47 |
37 |
|
|
Non-Fossil Electric |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
24 |
36 |
46 |
53 |
55 |
53 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
14 |
23 |
29 |
36 |
33 |
33 |
28 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
18 |
22 |
27 |
26 |
25 |
23 |
20 |
19 |
19 |
18 |
16 |
15 |
|
|
Total |
|
43 |
64 |
112 |
160 |
216 |
273 |
312 |
313 |
290 |
265 |
232 |
196 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Production ZJ |
|
NOT use but Production |
|
|
Coal |
|
0,0 |
0,1 |
0,2 |
0,3 |
0,7 |
1,3 |
1,9 |
2,4 |
2,8 |
3,1 |
3,3 |
3,4 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0,0 |
0,6 |
1,5 |
2,6 |
4,0 |
5,5 |
6,9 |
8,2 |
9,1 |
9,9 |
10,6 |
11,1 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0,0 |
0,1 |
0,4 |
0,7 |
1,2 |
1,7 |
2,3 |
2,9 |
3,5 |
4,0 |
4,5 |
4,9 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0,0 |
16,4 |
36,8 |
63,9 |
98,4 |
140,0 |
187,7 |
235,4 |
278,2 |
314,8 |
344,7 |
369,2 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
1,2 |
1,1 |
1,7 |
2,1 |
2,1 |
1,7 |
1,3 |
1,1 |
1,0 |
0,9 |
0,8 |
0,7 |
Net Ecosystem Production
(NEP) |
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
397 |
408 |
477 |
521 |
558 |
553 |
530 |
506 |
486 |
460 |
423 |
385 |
Arable land for crops
excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species |
|
Grasslands |
|
1697 |
1660 |
1750 |
1784 |
1755 |
1592 |
1424 |
1295 |
1184 |
1108 |
1041 |
975 |
Permanent pasture: FAO
category 'land for grass & fodder species' |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
2 |
7 |
18 |
44 |
74 |
84 |
96 |
90 |
94 |
84 |
83 |
74 |
|
|
Forest |
|
1528 |
1517 |
1441 |
1386 |
1365 |
1437 |
1548 |
1639 |
1726 |
1798 |
1868 |
1940 |
|
|
Others |
|
1955 |
1987 |
1893 |
1844 |
1827 |
1915 |
1981 |
2050 |
2090 |
2130 |
2165 |
2205 |
|
|
Total |
|
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
5579 |
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
0,72 |
1,01 |
1,81 |
2,71 |
3,71 |
4,81 |
5,11 |
4,71 |
4,11 |
3,51 |
2,91 |
2,41 |
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0,73 |
0,82 |
0,45 |
0,45 |
0,04 |
-0,25 |
-0,13 |
-0,15 |
-0,10 |
-0,21 |
-0,22 |
-0,22 |
Approximate calculation
from complex land-use module |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1,45 |
1,83 |
2,26 |
3,16 |
3,75 |
4,56 |
4,98 |
4,56 |
4,01 |
3,30 |
2,69 |
2,19 |
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
77 |
85 |
100 |
115 |
119 |
117 |
112 |
108 |
103 |
92 |
82 |
70 |
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
1,2 |
1,3 |
1,5 |
1,8 |
1,9 |
2,0 |
2,2 |
2,1 |
2,1 |
2,0 |
1,9 |
1,6 |
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
10,5 |
12,8 |
21,2 |
26,8 |
33,7 |
37,4 |
35,6 |
29,9 |
24,0 |
19,5 |
15,7 |
12,6 |
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
2 |
16 |
28 |
42 |
64 |
98 |
102 |
102 |
101 |
96 |
89 |
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
4 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
2 |
5 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
22 |
24 |
21 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
396 |
404 |
321 |
301 |
186 |
126 |
121 |
131 |
143 |
121 |
105 |
83 |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
48 |
55 |
54 |
55 |
51 |
48 |
47 |
47 |
45 |
42 |
40 |
36 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
7 |
8 |
10 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|